Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.239663 0.285677 0.337297 0.399372 0.471865 0.553715 0.652996
2025-02-23 0.164449 0.221199 0.292068 0.386553 0.508638 0.660418 0.862687
2025-03-02 0.121098 0.178483 0.256143 0.367888 0.523312 0.730378 1.025368
2025-03-09 0.101088 0.160572 0.246510 0.377986 0.571881 0.844644 1.253971
2025-03-16 0.080444 0.136900 0.223485 0.363523 0.581193 0.902591 1.407568
2025-03-23 0.069805 0.126197 0.217309 0.371921 0.623323 1.010133 1.641933
2025-03-30 0.060867 0.116424 0.210630 0.377731 0.660870 1.113111 1.878124
2025-04-06 0.051900 0.104853 0.198929 0.373027 0.679815 1.187460 2.074957
2025-04-13 0.044634 0.095002 0.188535 0.368689 0.698023 1.261210 2.276327
2025-04-20 0.040647 0.090694 0.187402 0.380450 0.745062 1.386979 2.575497
2025-04-27 0.039551 0.091976 0.196862 0.412838 0.832418 1.589827 3.024814
2025-05-04 0.036719 0.089106 0.197720 0.428573 0.890085 1.744528 3.401313
2025-05-11 0.032114 0.081830 0.189176 0.425683 0.914017 1.844154 3.695060
2025-05-18 0.027208 0.072966 0.176044 0.411765 0.914951 1.901698 3.917919
2025-05-25 0.022665 0.064012 0.161218 0.391962 0.901124 1.928816 4.084260
2025-06-01 0.020818 0.061424 0.160367 0.402667 0.952255 2.088312 4.522837
2025-06-08 0.017665 0.054751 0.148821 0.387332 0.945103 2.128855 4.726346
2025-06-15 0.016250 0.052522 0.147712 0.396237 0.992505 2.286108 5.181125
2025-06-22 0.014853 0.050054 0.145607 0.402397 1.034210 2.434781 5.630059
2025-06-29 0.013129 0.046243 0.139386 0.397409 1.049170 2.526701 5.965449
2025-07-06 0.011638 0.042819 0.133644 0.392810 1.064419 2.620362 6.312028
2025-07-13 0.010933 0.041771 0.134340 0.405280 1.122900 2.816431 6.900736
2025-07-20 0.010999 0.043321 0.142716 0.439610 1.239784 3.156068 7.837875